Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Andrey Rublev		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.49	2.63
	1.44	2.65
	1.46	2.95
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.39	3.1	Watch
	1.48	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	2.77 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrey Rublev
65.5%

Tommy Paul
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrey Rublev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrey Rublev's performance.

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tommy Paul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Rublev than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	0%	13%

Andrey Rublev - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrey Rublev will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rublev will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rublev won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrey Rublev
ATP Gijon
13.10.22	Andrey Rublev - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
ATP Astana
08.10.22	Andrey Rublev - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
07.10.22	Adrian Mannarino - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
05.10.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
03.10.22	Laslo Djere - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Gijon
12.10.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
10.10.22	Martin Landaluce - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.22	Tommy Paul - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.22	Tommy Paul - Casper Ruud	2:3 ✺
31.08.22	Tommy Paul - Sebastian Korda	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
11.10.21	Andrey Rublev - Tommy Paul	1:2
ATP Madrid
04.05.21	Tommy Paul - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Hamburg
23.09.20	Tommy Paul - Andrey Rublev	1:2
ATP Washington
02.08.18	Andrey Rublev - Tommy Paul	2:0

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