Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BERGAMO (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.33
	3.2	1.32	Watch
	3.38	1.34
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.35	1.29	Watch
	3.15	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.94)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
29.3%

Brandon Nakashima
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kukushkin is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Nakashima is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nakashima is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Challenger
30.10.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Kalin Ivanovski	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Matteo Martineau - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Daniel Evans	Kukushkin M. retired ✺
05.10.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWL?W
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Challenger
25.10.23	Brandon Nakashima - Arthur Cazaux	1:2 ✺
23.10.23	Richard Gasquet - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
13.10.23	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Brandon Nakashima - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLW

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