Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday


	Brandon Nakashima		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.5	1.52	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.56	1.56
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.58	Watch
	2.35	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.35)	1.57 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
39.6%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Brandon Nakashima have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Brandon Nakashima - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nakashima is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rune is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nakashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rune will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Shanghai
04.10.23	Brandon Nakashima - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.23	Brandon Nakashima - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Laslo Djere - Brandon Nakashima	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.23	Brandon Nakashima - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Beijing
01.10.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
29.09.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
16.09.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Thiago Seyboth Wild	Canceled ✺
15.09.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LW?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Next Gen Finals
08.11.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Brandon Nakashima	Canceled
11.11.21	Brandon Nakashima - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:1

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