Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: SHANGHAI (CHINA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	00:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	SportKlub
Brazil	10:00	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 1
Croatia	15:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	15:00	Eurosport 2
France	15:00	Eurosport 1
Germany	15:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Poland	15:00	Polsat Sport News
Serbia	15:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	15:00	SportKlub
Ukraine	16:00	Setanta Sports


	Zhizhen Zhang		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.78
	2.1	1.75	Watch
	2.03	1.76
	2.13	1.8
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.11	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.34)	1.76 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhizhen Zhang
45.8%

Brandon Nakashima
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhizhen Zhang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhizhen Zhang's performance.

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brandon Nakashima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhizhen Zhang than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhizhen Zhang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brandon Nakashima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.4%	0%	25.6%

Zhizhen Zhang - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Zhang will win (votes: 29 - 74.4%). Nakashima will win (votes: 10 - 25.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhang: 60.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhang in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Nakashima is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nakashima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Zhang to win the game is with odds 2.1.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2 ✺
04.10.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Richard Gasquet	2:0 ✺
ATP Asian Games
30.09.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Shanghai
06.10.23	Brandon Nakashima - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
04.10.23	Brandon Nakashima - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.23	Brandon Nakashima - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.23	Roman Safiullin - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.23	Laslo Djere - Brandon Nakashima	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLL

Zhizhen Zhang - Brandon Nakashima

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Zhizhen Zhang - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Preview

Form

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