Match Info

Date: 30 September 2020, Wednesday


	Mikhail Kukushkin		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.75	1.45	Watch
	2.6	1.46
	2.75	1.52
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.8	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (1.98)	1.47 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikhail Kukushkin
35.2%

Pedro Martinez Portero
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikhail Kukushkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mikhail Kukushkin's form might have worsened.

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Martinez Portero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhail Kukushkin than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikhail Kukushkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Martinez Portero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26%	0%	74%

Mikhail Kukushkin - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Kukushkin will win (votes: 13 - 26%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 37 - 74%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Martinez Portero: 61.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two players.

Martinez Portero could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kukushkin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikhail Kukushkin
ATP Roland Garros
28.09.20	Fabio Fognini - Mikhail Kukushkin	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
14.09.20	Dominik Koepfer - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
13.09.20	Mikhail Kukushkin - Taro Daniel	2:0 ✺
12.09.20	Mikhail Kukushkin - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
04.09.20	Jordan Thompson - Mikhail Kukushkin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWL
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Roland Garros
28.09.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Aleksandar Vukic	3:0 ✺
24.09.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Ulises Blanch	2:0 ✺
23.09.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Robin Haase	2:0 ✺
21.09.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniel Masur	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
17.09.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWL

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