Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
			Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.37	3.22
	1.37	2.98	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.32	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)	3.06 ↑ (2.71)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
69.3%

Aleksandar Vukic
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pedro Martinez Portero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Vukic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Martinez Portero will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 113. Vukic is ranked ATP: 84.

Martinez Portero has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vukic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Martinez Portero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Martinez Portero is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Martinez Portero won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Bucharest
31.03.26	Daniel Altmaier - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
23.02.26	Francisco Comesana - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWWL
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Taha Baadi	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Billy Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:0
ATP Chengdu
20.09.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
28.09.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Aleksandar Vukic	3:0

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