Match Info

Date: 17 September 2020, Thursday


	Pedro Martinez Portero		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.6	1.28
	3.45	1.32
	3.4	1.27
	3.77	1.32
	3.4	1.25	Watch
	3.58	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.96)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Martinez Portero
26.5%

Denis Shapovalov
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pedro Martinez Portero's form might have worsened.

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denis Shapovalov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.7%	0%	80.3%

Pedro Martinez Portero - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: Denis Shapovalov will win (53 of 66 users predict this - 80.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.7% – 89.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Martinez Portero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shapovalov is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Shapovalov to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Roma
15.09.20	Sam Querrey - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
14.09.20	Andrej Martin - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
13.09.20	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matteo Viola	2:1 ✺
12.09.20	Francesco Forti - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.20	Martin Klizan - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Roma
15.09.20	Guido Pella - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
08.09.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov	3:2 ✺
06.09.20	Denis Shapovalov - David Goffin	3:1 ✺
04.09.20	Denis Shapovalov - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:2 ✺
02.09.20	Denis Shapovalov - Soon Woo Kwon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW

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