Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Mili Poljicak		Maxim Mrva

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.9	Watch
	1.79	2.11
	1.71	2.01	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.7	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.54)	1.99 ↓ (2.28)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mili Poljicak
53.2%

Maxim Mrva
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mili Poljicak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mili Poljicak's form might have worsened.

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maxim Mrva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Mili Poljicak - Maxim Mrva Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Poljicak will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Mrva will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rain delay.

Poljicak is ranked ATP: 326. Mrva is ranked ATP: 323.

Recent performances by Poljicak have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mrva is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mrva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Poljicak won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mili Poljicak - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 59.69%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Maxim Mrva - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
19.05.26	Lucas Poullain - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
13.05.26	Mili Poljicak - Dominic Stephan Stricker	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Denis Yevseyev - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Vladyslav Orlov - Mili Poljicak	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWW
- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
18.05.26	Maxim Mrva - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Maxim Mrva - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Maxim Mrva	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Andrea Vavassori - Maxim Mrva	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Maxim Mrva - Alejandro Moro Canas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.04.25	Maxim Mrva - Mili Poljicak	2:0

Mili Poljicak - Maxim Mrva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide