Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Maxim Mrva		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.5	Watch
	2.34	1.63
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.72)	1.55 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
39.9%

Alejandro Moro Canas
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maxim Mrva's performance.

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Moro Canas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Maxim Mrva - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 303. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 233.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mrva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moro Canas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Moro Canas - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.94%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Maxim Mrva - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
27.03.26	Maxim Mrva - Kimmer Coppejans	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Daniel Rincon - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Maxim Mrva - Alex Molcan	Canceled ✺
15.03.26	Maxim Mrva - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLW?L
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
10.04.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Henry Bernet - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLW

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