Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shymkent 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Denis Yevseyev		Mili Poljicak

	1	2
	3.2	1.3
	2.9	1.36
	3.53	1.32
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.21	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.44)	1.32 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Yevseyev
29.1%

Mili Poljicak
70.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Yevseyev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Yevseyev's form might have worsened.

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mili Poljicak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Yevseyev than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Yevseyev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mili Poljicak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Denis Yevseyev - Mili Poljicak Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Yevseyev will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Poljicak will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Poljicak (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Yevseyev is ranked ATP: 408. Poljicak is ranked ATP: 313.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Yevseyev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Poljicak will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Denis Yevseyev - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.76%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Yevseyev
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Amir Omarkhanov - Denis Yevseyev	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Dali Blanch - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Federico Bondioli - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Denis Yevseyev - Sergio Callejon Hernando	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Denis Yevseyev - Sergio Martos Gornes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW
- Mili Poljicak
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Vladyslav Orlov - Mili Poljicak	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Mili Poljicak - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Mili Poljicak - Denis Klok	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Mili Poljicak - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Michele Ribecai - Mili Poljicak	Poljicak M. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWW?

Denis Yevseyev - Mili Poljicak