Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech (Morocco), clay - Final

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Referee: Lahyani M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 2
Poland	Polsat Sport News
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.2	1.35	Watch
	3.29	1.38
	3.29	1.39
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.42	Watch
	2.95	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.61)	1.39 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
31.1%

Matteo Berrettini
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Carballes Baena's form might have worsened.

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matteo Berrettini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	0%	79.2%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Berrettini will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Berrettini is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carballes Baena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Berrettini is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Berrettini to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Marrakech
06.04.24	Pavel Kotov - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
05.04.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	Daniel Evans - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
02.04.24	Matteo Gigante - Roberto Carballes Baena	Gigante M. retired ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWW?L
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Marrakech
06.04.24	Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Matteo Berrettini - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
02.04.24	Alexander Shevchenko - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Andy Murray - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Napoli
20.10.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
ATP Florence
12.10.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini	2:1
ATP St Petersburg
19.09.19	Matteo Berrettini - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0

Roberto Carballes Baena - Matteo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide