Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Matteo Berrettini		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.56	2.40
	1.53	2.43
	1.61	2.5
	1.56	2.44	Watch
	1.59	2.45
	1.55	2.52	Watch
	1.55	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)	2.46 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
61.2%

Mariano Navone
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Navone will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Navone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 43. Navone is ranked ATP: 49.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Navone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Berrettini might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Berrettini won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Matteo Berrettini - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Titouan Droguet - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.26	Grigor Dimitrov - Matteo Berrettini	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLL
- Mariano Navone
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Mariano Navone - Novak Djokovic	3:2 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.26	James Duckworth - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.26	Alexander Blockx - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Mariano Navone - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.26	Mariano Navone - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone	1:2
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
ATP Marrakech
06.04.24	Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone	2:1

Matteo Berrettini - Mariano Navone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide