Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar (Croatia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Mirza Basic		Filip Cristian Jianu

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.75	1.9	Watch
	1.9	1.93
	1.85	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.11)	1.89 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirza Basic
50.8%

Filip Cristian Jianu
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirza Basic's performance.

Filip Cristian Jianu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Filip Cristian Jianu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirza Basic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filip Cristian Jianu than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filip Cristian Jianu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mirza Basic - Filip Cristian Jianu Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirza Basic will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basic is ranked ATP: 518. Jianu is ranked ATP: 241.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Jianu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirza Basic
ATP Challenger
17.03.25	Mirza Basic - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Martin Klizan - Mirza Basic	Klizan M. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.03.25	Mirza Basic - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Mirza Basic - Mak Mikovic	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Alexander Weis - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 W?LWL
- Filip Cristian Jianu
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
27.02.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Valentin Royer	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Filip Cristian Jianu - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL

Mirza Basic - Filip Cristian Jianu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide