Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Mitchell Krueger		Andrea Collarini

	1	2
	1.44	2.63
	1.4	2.85
	1.39	2.91
	1.38	3.1
	1.41	2.88	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.85	Watch
	1.47	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	2.81 (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitchell Krueger
66.6%

Andrea Collarini
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitchell Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Andrea Collarini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Mitchell Krueger - Andrea Collarini Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Krueger will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Collarini will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krueger: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Krueger (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Krueger is ranked ATP: 186. Collarini is ranked ATP: 241.

Recent form of Krueger has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Collarini has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Krueger could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Krueger won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Mitchell Krueger	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Emilio Nava - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
19.07.25	Yibing Wu - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
15.07.25	Daniel Altmaier - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Andrea Collarini
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Jan Choinski - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Andrea Collarini - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Andrea Collarini - Andrew Paulson	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Andrea Collarini - Mika Brunold	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.04.19	Mitchell Krueger - Andrea Collarini	1:2

Mitchell Krueger - Andrea Collarini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide