Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday


	Mitchell Krueger		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.65	2.21	Watch
	1.64	2.37
	1.67	2.22	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.26	Watch
	1.65	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.18)	2.25 ↑ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitchell Krueger
57.7%

Luca Nardi
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitchell Krueger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mitchell Krueger's performance.

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mitchell Krueger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Nardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	0%	31%

Mitchell Krueger - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Krueger will win (votes: 20 - 69%). Nardi will win (votes: 9 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krueger: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Krueger is ranked ATP: 192. Nardi is ranked ATP: 78.

Krueger is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nardi is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Krueger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Washington
28.07.24	Zachary Svajda - Mitchell Krueger	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Mitchell Krueger - Denis Yevseyev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.07.24	Gabriel Diallo - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Mitchell Krueger - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
22.07.24	Mitchell Krueger - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWW
- Luca Nardi
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.24	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Luca Nardi	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
24.06.24	Luca Nardi - Rinky Hijikata	1:2 ✺
ATP London
15.06.24	Luca Nardi - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
13.06.24	Sebastian Korda - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
10.06.24	David Goffin - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLLW

Mitchell Krueger - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide