Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch (Netherlands), grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 June 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport, Ziggo Sport Select, Ziggo Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Prima Sport 3
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Sebastian Korda		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.2	4.2	Watch
	1.25	4.33
	1.26	4.33
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	4.04	Watch
	1.21	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.3)	4.23 ↑ (3.31)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
77.5%

Luca Nardi
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Korda's performance.

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Korda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Nardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Sebastian Korda - Luca Nardi Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Nardi will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Korda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Korda is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.24	Sebastian Korda - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.24	Sebastian Korda - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
30.05.24	Sebastian Korda - Soon Woo Kwon	3:1 ✺
26.05.24	Sebastian Korda - Harold Mayot	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
12.05.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Korda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.24	David Goffin - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Luca Nardi - Alexandre Muller	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.05.24	Luca Nardi - Jeffrey John Wolf	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Luca Nardi - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
09.05.24	Daniel Altmaier - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLLW

Sebastian Korda - Luca Nardi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide