Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong		Sergey Fomin

	1	2
	2.00	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.97	1.75
	2.02	1.87
	1.97	1.73	Watch
	1.97	1.85
	1.95	1.74	Watch
	1.97	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.09)	1.77 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
47.3%

Sergey Fomin
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sergey Fomin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sergey Fomin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Sergey Fomin Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Leong will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fomin will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Leong is ranked ATP: 464. Fomin is ranked ATP: 287.

Leong is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fomin is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fomin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Hanyi Liu	Liu H. Retired ✺
13.09.26	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Ye Hongyu	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Omar Jasika - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Thijmen Loof	Loof T. Retired ✺
06.09.26	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Takeru Yuzuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 ?WL?W
- Sergey Fomin
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Sergey Fomin - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.08.26	Xirui Han - Sergey Fomin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.26	Aziz Dougaz - Sergey Fomin	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Sergey Fomin - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Sergey Fomin - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:1

Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Sergey Fomin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide