Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 15 August 2026, Saturday
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Aziz Dougaz |
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Sergey Fomin |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.55 |
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2.30 |
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1.57 |
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2.26 |
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 |
1.65 |
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2.33 |
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 |
1.56 |
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2.31 |
Watch |
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1.63 |
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2.30 |
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 |
1.55 |
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2.30 |
Watch |
 |
1.57 |
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2.26 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.39) |
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2.29 ↓
(2.72) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aziz Dougaz
59.2% | Sergey Fomin
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aziz Dougaz's form might have worsened.Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergey Fomin's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aziz Dougaz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergey Fomin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. 
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Preview
Dougaz is ranked ATP: 629. Fomin is ranked ATP: 308.Dougaz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Fomin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Fomin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Dougaz might have a minor edge in this game. In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
Last Results with these Odds
Sergey Fomin - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.82%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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