Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Sergey Fomin		Yi Zhou

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.36
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.06	1.42
	2.98	1.34	Watch
	2.95	1.4
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	3	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.73)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergey Fomin
31.7%

Yi Zhou
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergey Fomin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sergey Fomin - Yi Zhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Fomin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Zhou will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fomin is ranked ATP: 295. Zhou is ranked ATP: 248.

In recent matches, Fomin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zhou has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fomin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zhou is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fomin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Sergey Fomin - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.88%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergey Fomin
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Sergey Fomin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.08.26	Xirui Han - Sergey Fomin	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.26	Aziz Dougaz - Sergey Fomin	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Sergey Fomin - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Sergey Fomin - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWW
- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Yi Zhou	Canceled ✺
29.07.26	Daniel Milavsky - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Yi Zhou - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Yi Zhou - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.08.23	Sergey Fomin - Yi Zhou	0:2

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