Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Amersfoort (Netherlands) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 15 July 2024, Monday

Referee: Wendel P. (Ger)


	Moez Echargui		Jelle Sels

	1	2
			Watch
	2.35	1.5
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.42	1.54
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.43	1.53	Watch
	2.27	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.78)	1.54 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moez Echargui
39.7%

Jelle Sels
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moez Echargui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moez Echargui's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moez Echargui that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Moez Echargui - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Echargui is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sels is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sels will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moez Echargui
ATP Challenger
14.07.24	Carlos Taberner - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Alessandro Pecci - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
02.07.24	Moez Echargui - Filip Cristian Jianu	1:2 ✺
24.06.24	Moez Echargui - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
20.06.24	Calvin Hemery - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
14.07.24	Jelle Sels - Jonas Forejtek	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.24	Jelle Sels - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.07.24	Matej Dodig - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
01.07.24	Jelle Sels - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
30.06.24	Jelle Sels - Ilya Snitari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWW

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