Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Bernard Tomic		Spencer Johnson

	1	2
	2.30	1.55
	2.23	1.62
	2.47	1.62
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	1.92	1.84
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.19)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
41.8%

Spencer Johnson
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Spencer Johnson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spencer Johnson than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Bernard Tomic - Spencer Johnson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 206. Johnson is ranked ATP: 682.

Tomic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Johnson is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tomic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Johnson could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Johnson will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Matthew Forbes - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	James McCabe - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Darwin Blanch - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Adam Walton	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Bernard Tomic - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW
- Spencer Johnson
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Jeffrey John Wolf - Spencer Johnson	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Spencer Johnson - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.07.26	Spencer Johnson - Noah Zamora	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Spencer Johnson - Stian Klaassen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWW

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