Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Quinta do Lago, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quinta do Lago 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mona Barthel		Matilde Jorge

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Mona Barthel
61.3%

Matilde Jorge
38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mona Barthel have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Matilde Jorge have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mona Barthel than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Barthel is ranked WTA: 208. Jorge is ranked WTA: 250.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Barthel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barthel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
14.10.25	Mona Barthel - Sara Lanca	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Carole Monnet - Mona Barthel	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Mona Barthel - Teodora Kostovic	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Mona Barthel - Kaja Juvan	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Mona Barthel - Oleksandra Oliynykova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLW
- Matilde Jorge
ITF Tournaments
15.10.25	Lian Tran - Matilde Jorge	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Matilde Jorge - Alize Lim	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Polina Iatcenko - Matilde Jorge	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Matilde Jorge - Angelina Voloshchuk	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Matilde Jorge - Brandy Walker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mona Barthel
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Laura Hietaranta - Mona Barthel	✺

Mona Barthel - Matilde Jorge