Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Wuhan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wuhan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sofia Kenin		Ludmilla Samsonova

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.39	1.58	Watch
	2.41	1.62
	2.35	1.56	Watch
	2.37	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.02)	1.58 ↓ (1.79)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sofia Kenin
40%

Ludmilla Samsonova
60%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofia Kenin's form might have worsened.

Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ludmilla Samsonova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofia Kenin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ludmilla Samsonova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Sofia Kenin - Ludmilla Samsonova Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kenin will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Samsonova will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kenin is ranked WTA: 28. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 20.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Samsonova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Samsonova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kenin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sofia Kenin
WTA Wuhan
06.10.25	Anastasia Zakharova - Sofia Kenin	1:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
28.09.25	Jasmine Paolini - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Polina Kudermetova - Sofia Kenin	0:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
17.09.25	Maya Joint - Sofia Kenin	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Laura Siegemund - Sofia Kenin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLW
- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Wuhan
06.10.25	Emiliana Arango - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
27.09.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Lois Boisson	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
27.08.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Priscilla Hon	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Yue Yuan	2:1 ✺
WTA Cleveland
21.08.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Sorana Cirstea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Doha
14.02.23	Sofia Kenin - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
29.09.20	Ludmilla Samsonova - Sofia Kenin	1:2

Sofia Kenin - Ludmilla Samsonova