Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Knoxville, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Murphy Cassone		Cedrik-Marcel Stebe

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.49
	2.20	1.61	Watch
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.84)	2.16 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
55.9%

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Murphy Cassone's performance.

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cedrik-Marcel Stebe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Murphy Cassone - Cedrik Marcel Stebe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Stebe will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cassone (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stebe (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 245. Stebe is ranked ATP: 426.

Cassone is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stebe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stebe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Nicolas Mejia - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Matias Soto - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Murphy Cassone - Alejandro Moreno	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Murphy Cassone - Gage Brymer	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL
- Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Oliver Tarvet - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Justin Engel - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL

Murphy Cassone - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide