Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Knoxville, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday


	Oliver Tarvet		Cedrik-Marcel Stebe

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.48	2.69
	1.93	1.79	Watch
	1.51	2.5	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)	2.47 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliver Tarvet
61.6%

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliver Tarvet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Cedrik-Marcel Stebe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliver Tarvet than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oliver Tarvet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cedrik-Marcel Stebe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Oliver Tarvet - Cedrik Marcel Stebe Predictions

Users Predictions: Oliver Tarvet will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tarvet is ranked ATP: 338. Stebe is ranked ATP: 426.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Stebe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tarvet could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliver Tarvet
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Andre Ilagan - Oliver Tarvet	1:2 ✺
31.10.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Oliver Tarvet	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Oliver Tarvet	1:2 ✺
27.10.25	Oliver Tarvet - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Oliver Tarvet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWL
- Cedrik-Marcel Stebe
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Alex Rybakov	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Justin Engel - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Ryan Peniston	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWLL

Oliver Tarvet - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide