Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday


	Murphy Cassone		Hugo Grenier

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.17	Watch
	1.67	2.25
	1.63	2.22	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.72)	2.21 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
57.6%

Hugo Grenier
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Murphy Cassone - Hugo Grenier Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Grenier will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cassone: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 248. Grenier is ranked ATP: 197.

Cassone is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Grenier is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cassone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Grenier - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.95%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
25.02.25	Richard Berankis - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Alexey Vatutin	Cassone M. walkover ✺
23.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Arthur Bouquier	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Alexander Blockx - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 W?WLW
- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
25.02.25	Jie Cui - Hugo Grenier	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Matteo Martineau - Hugo Grenier	Canceled ✺
18.02.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
ATP Marseille
13.02.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
12.02.25	Hugo Grenier - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 W?LLW

Murphy Cassone - Hugo Grenier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide