Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 February 2025, Tuesday


	Richard Berankis		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.07)	1.4 ↓ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richard Berankis
33.7%

Murphy Cassone
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richard Berankis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Richard Berankis's form might have worsened.

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Murphy Cassone's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richard Berankis than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Richard Berankis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murphy Cassone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Richard Berankis - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Berankis will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cassone will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Berankis is ranked ATP: 300. Cassone is ranked ATP: 248.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Cassone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cassone will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Cassone to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richard Berankis
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Jie Cui - Richard Berankis	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Andrin Casanova - Richard Berankis	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Richard Berankis - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	1:2 ✺
24.01.25	Elmer Moller - Richard Berankis	0:2 ✺
23.01.25	Gregoire Barrere - Richard Berankis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Alexey Vatutin	Cassone M. walkover ✺
23.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Murphy Cassone - Arthur Bouquier	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Alexander Blockx - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
19.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 ?WLWW

Richard Berankis - Murphy Cassone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide