Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marseille (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday


	Hugo Grenier		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.17	1.75
	2.11	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	2.05	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.9)	1.72 ↓ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Grenier
45.1%

Arthur Gea
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Grenier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Grenier, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Gea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Hugo Grenier - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Grenier will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Gea will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gea: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Grenier is ranked ATP: 202. Gea is ranked ATP: 306.

Recent matches Grenier is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gea is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Grenier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Grenier
ATP Marseille
10.02.25	Hugo Grenier - Lukas Klein	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Matteo Gigante - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.02.25	Hugo Grenier - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Hugo Grenier - Terence Atmane	2:1 ✺
ATP Montpellier
27.01.25	Hugo Grenier - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL
- Arthur Gea
ATP Marseille
10.02.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Arthur Gea - Henri Squire	Squire H. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.25	Valentin Royer - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Arthur Gea - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Arthur Gea - Tom Gentzsch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 W?LWW

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