Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Los Cabos - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday


	Murphy Cassone		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.55	2.49
			Watch
			Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.68)	2.45 ↑ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
61.6%

Nicolas Mejia
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Murphy Cassone's performance.

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Mejia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 190. Mejia is ranked ATP: 243.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Cassone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Mejia - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Los Cabos
12.07.25	Murphy Cassone - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Brandon Holt - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
23.06.25	Alexis Galarneau - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Leandro Riedi - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Murphy Cassone - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLW
- Nicolas Mejia
ATP Los Cabos
12.07.25	Isaiah Strode - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Nicolas Mejia - Andres Andrade	1:2 ✺
01.07.25	Rei Sakamoto - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Nicolas Mejia - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Nicolas Mejia - Pedro Rodrigues	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW

Murphy Cassone - Nicolas Mejia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide