Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chicago, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday


	Yibing Wu		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
	1.05	11	Watch
	1.05	7.75	Watch
	1.03	9.4	Watch
	1.04	13.53
	1.04	9.25	Watch
	1.06	8	Watch
	1.02	10.2	Watch
	1.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.11)	9.42 ↑ (5.6)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yibing Wu
90%

Naoki Nakagawa
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.5%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yibing Wu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yibing Wu's performance.

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naoki Nakagawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Yibing Wu - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Nakagawa will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wu is ranked ATP: 186. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 350.

Wu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nakagawa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nakagawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wu is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yibing Wu
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Yibing Wu - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
24.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Yibing Wu - Alexei Popyrin	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Gael Monfils - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
20.07.25	Corentin Moutet - Yibing Wu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLWWW
- Naoki Nakagawa
ATP Challenger
04.08.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Alfredo Perez	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Dhakshineswar Suresh	Nakagawa N. retired ✺
20.07.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Kaylan Bigun	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Patrick Kypson - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W?LLL

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