Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Naoki Nakagawa		Yusuke Takahashi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.67	2.08	Watch
	1.65	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.65)	2.08 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naoki Nakagawa
55.6%

Yusuke Takahashi
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Yusuke Takahashi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naoki Nakagawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yusuke Takahashi than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yusuke Takahashi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 678. Takahashi is ranked ATP: 504.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Takahashi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nakagawa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
23.03.26	Yuta Kikuchi - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Emile Hudd - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Leo Vithoontien - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Riku Takahata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL
- Yusuke Takahashi
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Hyeon Chung - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Yusuke Takahashi	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Yusuke Takahashi - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
23.02.26	Alexandr Binda - Yusuke Takahashi	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Siddhant Banthia - Yusuke Takahashi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.11.24	Yusuke Takahashi - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2
18.11.23	Yusuke Takahashi - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2
05.11.23	Naoki Nakagawa - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0
ITF Tournaments
29.07.21	Naoki Nakagawa - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0
02.02.17	Yusuke Takahashi - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2

Naoki Nakagawa - Yusuke Takahashi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide