Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Montreal 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:50	beIN Sports 2
Brazil	21:50	ESPN 3
Czech Republic	02:50	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	02:50	TV2 Play
France	02:50	beIN Sports 1
Germany	02:50	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	03:50	Nova Sports 6
Poland	02:50	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	03:50	Digi Sport 2
Ukraine	03:50	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	01:50	Sky Sports Tennis


	Naomi Osaka		Clara Tauson

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.56	2.36	Watch
	1.67	2.34
	1.62	2.33	Watch
	1.72	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.8)	2.28 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
57.9%

Clara Tauson
42.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naomi Osaka's performance.

Clara Tauson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Clara Tauson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clara Tauson than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.6%	0%	24.4%

Naomi Osaka - Clara Tauson Predictions

Users Predictions: Naomi Osaka will win (34 of 42 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.07% – 92.83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Naomi Osaka will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Osaka is ranked WTA: 49. Tauson is ranked WTA: 19.

Osaka is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tauson is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Osaka will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Montreal
05.08.25	Elina Svitolina - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Naomi Osaka - Anastasija Sevastova	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Naomi Osaka - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Ludmilla Samsonova - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Ariana Arseneault - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW
- Clara Tauson
WTA Montreal
05.08.25	Madison Keys - Clara Tauson	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Clara Tauson - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Clara Tauson - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Clara Tauson - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
WTA Washington
25.07.25	Anna Kalinskaya - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Auckland
04.01.25	Clara Tauson - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. retired

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Tokyo
29.10.26	Naomi Osaka - Mia Pohankova	✺

Naomi Osaka - Clara Tauson