Match Info
WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finalsDate: 1 September 2025, MondayLocation: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Belgium | HBO Max, HBO Max |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | HBO Max |
Bulgaria | HBO Max |
Croatia | HBO Max |
Czech-republic | HBO Max |
Denmark | HBO Max |
Finland | HBO Max |
France | HBO Max |
Hungary | HBO Max |
Moldova | HBO Max |
Montenegro | HBO Max |
Netherlands | HBO Max |
North-macedonia | HBO Max |
Norway | HBO Max |
Poland | HBO Max |
Romania | HBO Max |
Serbia | HBO Max |
Slovenia | HBO Max |
Spain | HBO Max |
Sweden | HBO Max |
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Naomi Osaka |
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Cori Gauff |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Naomi Osaka 42.9% | Cori Gauff 57.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naomi Osaka's performance.Cori Gauff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cori Gauff might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naomi Osaka that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cori Gauff than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cori Gauff could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Naomi Osaka - Cori Gauff Predictions
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 15 - 39.5%). Gauff will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gauff: 45% – 76%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 8 - 40%). Gauff (votes: 12 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +2.5 Games - Osaka (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Gauff (votes: 12 - 57.1%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Osaka is ranked WTA: 24. Gauff is ranked WTA: 3.In recent matches, Osaka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Gauff is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). Gauff will hold a modest advantage in this match. We predict that Gauff will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osaka won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;