Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Naomi Osaka		Marta Kostyuk

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.05	1.78	Watch
	2.1	1.8
	2.1	1.81
	2	1.8
	2.02	1.8	Watch
	2.03	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.67)	1.8 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naomi Osaka
46.8%

Marta Kostyuk
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Naomi Osaka's form might have worsened.

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marta Kostyuk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naomi Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	0%	56.2%

Naomi Osaka - Marta Kostyuk Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kostyuk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Osaka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naomi Osaka
WTA Roma
08.05.24	Naomi Osaka - Clara Burel	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.24	Naomi Osaka - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Naomi Osaka - Greetje Minnen	2:0 ✺
WTA Rouen
17.04.24	Martina Trevisan - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
13.04.24	Naomi Osaka - Anna Danilina	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWL?
- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Madrid
26.04.24	Marta Kostyuk - Mayar Sherif	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
21.04.24	Elena Rybakina - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Marta Kostyuk - Marketa Vondrousova	2:0 ✺
19.04.24	Marta Kostyuk - Cori Gauff	2:1 ✺
18.04.24	Qinwen Zheng - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
04.09.20	Naomi Osaka - Marta Kostyuk	2:1

Naomi Osaka - Marta Kostyuk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide