Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday


	Neil Oberleitner		Yanaki Milev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.65	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.43	2.77
	1.42	2.71	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.84	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.84)	2.56 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neil Oberleitner
63.3%

Yanaki Milev
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neil Oberleitner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neil Oberleitner's performance.

Yanaki Milev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yanaki Milev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neil Oberleitner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanaki Milev than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanaki Milev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 422. Milev is ranked ATP: 825.

Oberleitner has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Milev has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oberleitner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Yanaki Milev - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neil Oberleitner
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Neil Oberleitner - Alexander Donski	1:2 ✺
27.07.25	Neil Oberleitner - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
19.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Neil Oberleitner	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.07.25	Anton Matusevich - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Sumit Nagal - Neil Oberleitner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Yanaki Milev
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Yanaki Milev - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Michael Vrbensky - Yanaki Milev	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.07.25	Anas Mazdrashki - Yanaki Milev	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Ognjen Milic - Yanaki Milev	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Nikola Jovic - Yanaki Milev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.06.23	Yanaki Milev - Neil Oberleitner	0:2

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