Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Nerman Fatic		Pol Martin Tiffon

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.7	Watch
	2.05	1.83
	2.01	1.71	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.01	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.84)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nerman Fatic
45.8%

Pol Martin Tiffon
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nerman Fatic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Pol Martin Tiffon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pol Martin Tiffon than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Nerman Fatic - Pol Martin Tiffon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fatic is ranked ATP: 248. Martin Tiffon is ranked ATP: 268.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Fatic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fatic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Nerman Fatic - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Pol Martin Tiffon - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nerman Fatic
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Nerman Fatic - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
02.04.26	Nerman Fatic - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Lukas Neumayer - Nerman Fatic	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Nerman Fatic - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW
- Pol Martin Tiffon
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Alex Martinez - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Pol Martin Tiffon - Ivan Gakhov	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Edas Butvilas - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
07.12.21	Nerman Fatic - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:1

Nerman Fatic - Pol Martin Tiffon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide