Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Zaragoza, clay - 1/8-finalsDate: 2 October 2025, Thursday
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Nick Hardt |
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Ivan Gakhov |
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- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nick Hardt
36% | Ivan Gakhov
64% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nick Hardt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nick Hardt's form might have worsened.Ivan Gakhov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ivan Gakhov's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (+20.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nick Hardt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Gakhov than the current prediction. (-20.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ivan Gakhov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. 
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Preview
Hardt is ranked ATP: 728. Gakhov is ranked ATP: 287.Hardt is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Gakhov is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Gakhov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.We predict that Hardt will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hardt won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Ivan Gakhov - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.71%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 27.09.25 | Nick Hardt - Ivan Gakhov | 2:1 | | ATP Challenger | | | 25.03.25 | Ivan Gakhov - Nick Hardt | 0:2 | | 18.06.24 | Nick Hardt - Ivan Gakhov | 2:0 | | 02.06.23 | Ivan Gakhov - Nick Hardt | 2:1 | | ITF Tournaments | | | 24.05.22 | Ivan Gakhov - Nick Hardt | 1:2 |
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