Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Cruz 2 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Juan Manuel La Serna		Franco Roncadelli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.98	1.79	Watch
	1.88	1.84	Watch
	1.95	1.87
	1.92	1.77	Watch
	1.90	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.05)	1.8 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel La Serna
48.2%

Franco Roncadelli
51.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Juan Manuel La Serna aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Franco Roncadelli aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Juan Manuel La Serna - Franco Roncadelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. La Serna will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Roncadelli will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

La Serna is ranked ATP: 285., and Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 265..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Roncadelli may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, La Serna has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel La Serna - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.04%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Juan Manuel La Serna	Justo G. I. Retired ✺
13.10.26	Hernan Casanova - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Yanaki Milev - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?WLWL
- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Franco Roncadelli - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
13.10.26	Valerio Aboian - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Franco Roncadelli - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Franco Roncadelli - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.05.26	Franco Roncadelli - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2
ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	Franco Roncadelli - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0

Juan Manuel La Serna - Franco Roncadelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide