Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Nick Hardt		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
			Watch
	2.90	1.36
	3.15	1.34	Watch
	2.74	1.4	Watch
	2.80	1.42
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.70	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.11)	1.38 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nick Hardt
32.6%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nick Hardt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nick Hardt's form might have worsened.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nick Hardt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-15.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Nick Hardt - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Hardt will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Meligeni will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hardt is ranked ATP: 281., and Meligeni is ranked ATP: 453..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Hardt could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Meligeni holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Nick Hardt - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.69%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nick Hardt
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Nick Hardt - Amr Asrawy	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Nick Hardt - Karim Mabrouk	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Nick Hardt - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Kai Wehnelt - Nick Hardt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 W?WLL
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Gustavo Heide - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Carlos Maria Zarate	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Hugo Dellien - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Nick Hardt - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide