Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CHAMPAIGN (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2022, Friday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	3.05	1.36
	2.9	1.39
	2.9	1.43
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	2.95	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.22)	1.38 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
31.5%

Aleksandar Vukic
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Alvarez Varona's form might have worsened.

Aleksandar Vukic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aleksandar Vukic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Alvarez Varona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aleksandar Vukic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Users Predictions: Aleksandar Vukic will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Alvarez Varona is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vukic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vukic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vukic is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vukic to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
17.11.22	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
15.11.22	Denis Kudla - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	Christopher Eubanks - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
31.10.22	Christopher Eubanks - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
17.10.22	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLL?
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Challenger
16.11.22	Patrick Kypson - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
15.11.22	Aidan McHugh - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Dominik Koepfer - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Aleksandar Vukic - Maks Kasnikowski	2:0 ✺
11.11.22	Alexis Galarneau - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Aleksandar Vukic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide