The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Christoph Negritu 34.8%
Daniel Merida Aguilar 65.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
55.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
54.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Christoph Negritu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Christoph Negritu's form might have worsened.
Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christoph Negritu than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Christoph Negritu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Christoph Negritu - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Negritu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Negritu is ranked ATP: 426.Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 331.
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Negritu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Merida Aguilar will have a small advantage in this match.