Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Lilian Marmousez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.87	1.84	Watch
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.85)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
49.6%

Lilian Marmousez
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lilian Marmousez Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Marmousez will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Marmousez (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 316. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 421.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Alvarez Varona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alvarez Varona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Lilian Marmousez - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Loann Massard	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	Nerman Fatic - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Pedro Rodrigues - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Ignacio Monzon - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWW
- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Arthur Reymond - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.06.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Marvin Moeller - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
03.06.25	Mirza Basic - Lilian Marmousez	Basic M. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
27.05.25	Toby Samuel - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.07.24	Lilian Marmousez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1
ITF Tournaments
27.11.20	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lilian Marmousez	2:1

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lilian Marmousez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide