Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday


	Pedro Rodrigues		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
			Watch
	3.4	1.28	Watch
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.75	1.3
	3.44	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.39	1.29	Watch
	3.4	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.16)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pedro Rodrigues
27%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pedro Rodrigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Rodrigues than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pedro Rodrigues - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Alvarez Varona will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvarez Varona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rain delay.

Rodrigues is ranked ATP: 858. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 314.

Rodrigues is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alvarez Varona has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alvarez Varona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alvarez Varona is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pedro Rodrigues 2006
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Nicolas Mejia - Pedro Rodrigues	1:2 ✺
13.05.25	Pedro Rodrigues - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Pedro Rodrigues	0:2 ✺
12.05.25	Nicolas Zanellato - Pedro Rodrigues	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Pedro Rodrigues - Ignacio Monzon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWWWL
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Ignacio Monzon - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Boscardin Dias	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL

Pedro Rodrigues - Nicolas Alvarez Varona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide