Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Zaragoza (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Nicholas David Ionel

	1	2
	1.26	3.4
	1.25	3.45
	1.28	3.53
	1.26	3.51	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.27	3.46	Watch
	1.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)	3.47 ↑ (2.72)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
73.3%

Nicholas David Ionel
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Alvarez Varona's performance.

Nicholas David Ionel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicholas David Ionel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolas Alvarez Varona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicholas David Ionel than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicholas David Ionel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Nicholas David Ionel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 434. Ionel is ranked ATP: 349.

Alvarez Varona is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ionel in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ionel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alvarez Varona will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alvarez Varona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ITF Tournaments
03.10.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Benjamin Winter Lopez	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW
- Nicholas David Ionel
ITF Tournaments
03.10.24	Iliyan Radulov - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Vladyslav Orlov - Nicholas David Ionel	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Facundo Juarez	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Nicholas David Ionel - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.05.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Nicholas David Ionel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide