Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell 2 (Spain), clay - Final

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday


	Nicolas Alvarez Varona		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.48	2.41
	1.52	2.46
	1.49	2.44	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.49	2.47	Watch
	1.48	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.57)	2.46 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
62.4%

Lorenzo Giustino
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 433. Giustino is ranked ATP: 289.

Alvarez Varona in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Giustino is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Giustino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alvarez Varona will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Alvarez Varona to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alvarez Varona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ITF Tournaments
28.09.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Iliyan Radulov	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Ignacio Buse - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Stuart Parker - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Pedro Sakamoto	Alvarez Varona N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWW?
- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
28.09.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Gianluca Mager	Mager G. retired ✺
27.09.24	Alex Marti Pujolras - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.24	Enrico Dalla Valle - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.11.23	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0
ATP Gijon
09.10.22	Lorenzo Giustino - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide