Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Nicolas Jarry		Dominic Stephan Stricker

	1	2
			Watch
	1.9	1.8	Watch
	1.87	2.01
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.81	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.72)	1.88 ↓ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
50.4%

Dominic Stephan Stricker
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Dominic Stephan Stricker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Stephan Stricker than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Nicolas Jarry - Dominic Stephan Stricker Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stricker (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Dominic Stephan Stricker will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jarry is ranked ATP: 156. Stricker is ranked ATP: 293.

Jarry is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stricker is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Stricker may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Stricker will win today's game, with odds of 2.01.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Nicolas Jarry - Miguel Damas	Damas M. Retired ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Nicolas Jarry - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Nicolas Jarry - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
23.02.26	Nicolas Jarry - Dino Prizmic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 ?LLLL
- Dominic Stephan Stricker
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Andrej Nedic	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Pablo Manzano Lapuerta	2:0 ✺
05.04.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.03.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Gauthier Onclin - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

Nicolas Jarry - Dominic Stephan Stricker: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide