Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Nicolas Jarry		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.72	Watch
	1.89	1.81	Watch
	2.04	1.81
	1.97	1.78	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	2.03	1.81	Watch
	2.28	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.28)	1.76 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
46.7%

Francesco Maestrelli
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nicolas Jarry's performance.

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francesco Maestrelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Nicolas Jarry - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Maestrelli will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maestrelli: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Jarry (votes: 2 - 50%). Maestrelli (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jarry is ranked ATP: 155. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 111.

Maestrelli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maestrelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maestrelli will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Maestrelli - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Santiago
23.02.26	Nicolas Jarry - Dino Prizmic	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Jaime Faria - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Titouan Droguet - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Rafael Jodar - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
14.10.25	Nicolas Jarry - Timofey Skatov	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLLL?
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
12.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Michael Mmoh	Canceled ✺
08.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Pol Martin Tiffon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LW?LW

Nicolas Jarry - Francesco Maestrelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide