Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Mattia Bellucci		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.47	2.78
	1.48	2.58	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.69	Watch
	1.36	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)	2.72 ↓ (2.94)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
65.7%

Nicolas Jarry
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Mattia Bellucci - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 94. Jarry is ranked ATP: 154.

Bellucci is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bellucci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bellucci is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWW
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Nicolas Jarry - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Nicolas Jarry - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
23.02.26	Nicolas Jarry - Dino Prizmic	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Jaime Faria - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Titouan Droguet - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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