Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris (France), hard (indoor) - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 October 2024, Monday


	Nicolas Jarry		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.4	1.58	Watch
	2.48	1.59
	2.39	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.04)	1.58 ↓ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
39.7%

Lorenzo Sonego
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Jarry's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Sonego's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Nicolas Jarry - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Sonego will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jarry is ranked ATP: 34. Sonego is ranked ATP: 49.

Jarry is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sonego is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sonego could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sonego will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Jarry won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Basel
22.10.24	Nicolas Jarry - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
17.10.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Elias Ymer - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.24	Yibing Wu - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.24	Jannik Sinner - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Paris
27.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
22.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
16.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
09.10.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Nicolas Jarry	0:2
Davis Cup World Group
15.09.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Nicolas Jarry	2:1
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.19	Nicolas Jarry - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2

Nicolas Jarry - Lorenzo Sonego: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide