Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna (Austria), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.44	1.54	Watch
	2.59	1.55
	2.48	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.47	1.55	Watch
	2.44	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.32)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
38.4%

Lorenzo Musetti
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Lorenzo Sonego - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Musetti will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 50. Musetti is ranked ATP: 18.

Sonego is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Musetti is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Musetti will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sonego won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Musetti - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Stockholm
16.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
18.09.24	Taro Daniel - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Shanghai
07.10.24	Lorenzo Musetti - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
28.09.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Zizou Bergs - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Italian Championship Men
26.06.20	Lorenzo Sonego - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0

Lorenzo Sonego - Lorenzo Musetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide